gh346

0xa074eb...b60151

Smart Score

Win Rate

71.2%

Total P&L

+$205

Trade Count

354

Sharpe Ratio

-1.83

Sortino Ratio

-1.60

Max Drawdown

3032.1%

ROI

2.2%

Profit Factor

8.24

Kelly Fraction

0.626

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	8.163	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	78.0¢	5.16	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	96.8¢	5.165	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	8.73	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	8.734	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	9.091	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	82.2¢	9.72	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.3¢	9.721	Mar 4
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)	BUY	94.0¢	6.383	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	82.2¢	10.93	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.3¢	10.936	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	10.02	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	93.0¢	7.51	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	93.1¢	7.519	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.2¢	8.57	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.3¢	8.574	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10PM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.011	Mar 3
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	58.3¢	11.98	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	10.204	Mar 3
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	58.4¢	11.986	Mar 3

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.39

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.9%

Win Consistency42.6%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity354 trades · 42 active days

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