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bayaa

bayaa

0x0fa2a9...1f93ef
#6714 overall · top 31.88%
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
28.3%
Total P&L
+$854
Trade Count
162
Sharpe Ratio
0.71
Sortino Ratio
20.05
Max Drawdown
618.3%
ROI
73.4%
Profit Factor
2.50
Kelly Fraction
0.170
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
029.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?SELL51.0¢8.35Mar 5
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?BUY0.2¢500Mar 4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY3.0¢33.333Mar 4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY2.0¢50Mar 4
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?BUY0.2¢1,000Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY5.6¢89.286Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY3.4¢294.118Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.2¢199.203Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?BUY22.0¢22.727Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY37.0¢5.405Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY26.8¢18.657Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY4.1¢73.171Mar 4
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?BUY6.6¢75.281Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY25.0¢40Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by February 28?BUY0.1¢5,000Mar 3
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?BUY0.1¢5,000Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by February 28?BUY0.1¢10,000Mar 3
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?BUY14.0¢28.571Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 3

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%52%< 10%10–20%8%20–30%12%30–50%16%50–70%3%70–80%3%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.62
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.8%
Win Consistency29.0%
Profit Factor0.76
Drawdown Resilience0.62
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62
Weekly Sharpe est.0.47
Trading Activity152 trades · 8 active days
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9481d profit7d loss
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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